HSC 21 vs Blauw Geel '38 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
44.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
2º
14º
6º
55
3º
13º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
84 | 84 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
49 | 49 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
48 | 48 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
47 | 47 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
45 | 45 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
43 | 43 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
28 | 28 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
25 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HSC 21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
VVS
4 - 2
HSC
66%
18%
15%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
HSC
2 - 2
TOG
67%
18%
15%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
OJC
3 - 2
HSC
41%
24%
35%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
HSC
1 - 4
ADO
30%
23%
46%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
USV
3 - 1
HSC
59%
22%
19%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Blauw Geel '38
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
BLA
1 - 1
DEM
69%
18%
12%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
GVV
1 - 3
BLA
23%
23%
54%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
BLA
2 - 1
BAR
71%
18%
12%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
GEM
1 - 1
BLA
27%
22%
51%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
DEM
1 - 4
BLA
30%
23%
48%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | +1 |