Hranice vs Šumperk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.1%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
12.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
1º
7º
2º
33
7º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hranice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
HRA
3 - 0
VAL
77%
14%
9%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
STE
2 - 4
HRA
24%
23%
53%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
HRA
3 - 1
HFK
86%
9%
5%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
SLA
1 - 2
HRA
17%
19%
64%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
HRA
3 - 1
KVA
85%
10%
5%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Šumperk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SUM
1 - 0
STE
66%
18%
16%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
SUM
4 - 2
HOL
37%
23%
40%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
HFK
2 - 1
SUM
20%
22%
58%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
SUM
2 - 0
SLA
57%
20%
23%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
KVA
1 - 2
SUM
22%
21%
57%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | +1 |