3. Liga MSFL round 28

Hranice vs Frýdlant analysis

Hranice Frýdlant
40 ELO 40
10.4% Tilt 6%
5281º General ELO ranking 7715º
90º Country ELO ranking 141º
ELO win probability
41.2%
Hranice
24.3%
Draw
34.5%
Frýdlant

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
Hranice
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
34.5%
Win probability
Frýdlant
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Hranice
+14%
-41%
Frýdlant

Points and table prediction

Hranice
Their league position
Frýdlant
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
18º
16º
28
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Baník Ostrava II
79
79
100%
FC Zlínsko
60
60
100%
Třinec
59
59
0%
Znojmo
59
59
0%
Uničov
54
54
100%
Karviná II
53
53
100%
Hlučín
49
49
100%
FK Hodonín
48
48
100%
Frýdek-Místek
47
47
100%
Zlín II
10º
44
44
10º
100%
Start Brno
11º
44
44
11º
100%
Slovan Rosice
12º
43
43
12º
100%
Slovácko II
13º
41
41
13º
0%
Blansko
14º
41
41
14º
0%
Uherský Brod
15º
33
33
15º
100%
Hranice
16º
32
32
16º
100%
Tatran Bohunice
17º
29
29
17º
100%
Frýdlant
18º
28
28
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Hranice
Frýdlant
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation
100% 100%

ELO progression

Hranice
Frýdlant
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hranice
Hranice
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 May. 2024
TRI
Třinec
5 - 2
Hranice
HRA
79%
14%
7%
39 56 17 0
04 May. 2024
HRA
Hranice
0 - 1
Baník Ostrava II
BOI
15%
22%
63%
39 60 21 0
01 May. 2024
SLO
Slovácko II
2 - 0
Hranice
HRA
57%
22%
21%
40 44 4 -1
27 Apr. 2024
UHE
Uherský Brod
6 - 0
Hranice
HRA
35%
26%
40%
42 39 3 -2
19 Apr. 2024
HRA
Hranice
1 - 2
Znojmo
ZNO
22%
22%
55%
42 51 9 0

Matches

Frýdlant
Frýdlant
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 May. 2024
FRY
Frýdlant
2 - 3
Tatran Bohunice
TBB
52%
24%
25%
42 40 2 0
04 May. 2024
TJS
Start Brno
1 - 1
Frýdlant
FRY
52%
23%
25%
42 44 2 0
01 May. 2024
FRY
Frýdlant
2 - 1
Třinec
TRI
13%
20%
67%
40 56 16 +2
27 Apr. 2024
FRY
Frýdlant
1 - 4
Hlučín
HLU
14%
21%
65%
40 55 15 0
21 Apr. 2024
ZLI
Zlín II
3 - 2
Frýdlant
FRY
60%
22%
19%
41 47 6 -1