Hoyo Oita vs V-Varen Nagasaki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
46.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hoyo Oita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
BLA
1 - 1
HOY
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
HOY
6 - 1
HON
29%
25%
46%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +2 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
YOK
0 - 4
HOY
56%
24%
20%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +2 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
HOY
0 - 3
ZWE
45%
24%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -2 |
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
HOY
1 - 1
HON
56%
23%
21%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
V-Varen Nagasaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
HON
1 - 0
VVA
36%
27%
38%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
VVA
2 - 0
ZWE
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
HON
0 - 4
VVA
24%
25%
51%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
VVA
4 - 1
RYK
61%
22%
18%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
VVA
2 - 2
TOC
73%
18%
9%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |