Lorca FC vs Real Murcia Imperial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
MIN
0 - 2
LOR
16%
21%
63%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 4
LOR
14%
20%
66%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
LOR
0 - 1
YEC
46%
24%
30%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
LOR
7 - 0
ESP
83%
12%
5%
|
43 | 18 | 25 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
BAL
0 - 5
LOR
24%
23%
52%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Real Murcia Imperial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
IMP
0 - 2
CAR
76%
17%
7%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
IMP
1 - 2
BAL
63%
22%
15%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
AGU
4 - 1
IMP
52%
25%
23%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
IMP
1 - 1
CIE
45%
27%
29%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
PIN
2 - 1
IMP
22%
26%
52%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | -2 |