Lorca FC vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
28.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
SDF
2 - 2
LOR
18%
26%
56%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
MUR
2 - 0
LOR
62%
23%
15%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
LOR
1 - 2
LOR
15%
22%
63%
|
54 | 30 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
MAD
2 - 2
LOR
42%
27%
30%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
LOR
3 - 2
ROD
70%
19%
12%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
MEL
4 - 0
MAD
51%
27%
22%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ROD
1 - 1
MEL
22%
27%
51%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
MEL
2 - 0
CDE
69%
20%
11%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2016 |
ANT
2 - 1
MEL
13%
23%
64%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
GRA
4 - 0
MEL
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -2 |