Tercera Division XIII - Murcia Round 5

Lorca FC vs Mazarrón FC analysis

Lorca FC Mazarrón FC
39 ELO 33
4.2% Tilt -15.4%
20762º General ELO ranking 8737º
6534º Country ELO ranking 443º
ELO win probability
69.8%
Lorca FC
17.2%
Draw
13%
Mazarrón FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.8%
Win probability
Lorca FC
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
13%
Win probability
Mazarrón FC
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Lorca FC
Mazarrón FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lorca FC
Lorca FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Nov. 2020
RMC
Racing Murcia
4 - 0
Lorca FC
LOR
21%
24%
56%
42 27 15 0
18 Oct. 2020
MAR
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor
3 - 2
Lorca FC
LOR
33%
28%
39%
43 38 5 -1
24 Sep. 2020
LOR
Lorca FC
1 - 1
Real Murcia
MUR
22%
24%
55%
42 56 14 +1
08 Mar. 2020
LOR
Lorca FC
2 - 1
Águilas FC
AGU
89%
9%
3%
42 22 20 0
01 Mar. 2020
LOR
Lorca FC
2 - 1
UD Los Garres
UDL
86%
10%
4%
42 25 17 0

Matches

Mazarrón FC
Mazarrón FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Nov. 2020
MAZ
Mazarrón FC
0 - 0
Racing Cartagena Mar Menor
MAR
33%
26%
42%
33 39 6 0
01 Nov. 2020
CDM
CDU Malacitano
0 - 0
Mazarrón FC
MAZ
26%
24%
50%
33 23 10 0
10 Oct. 2020
AGU
Águilas FC
0 - 1
Mazarrón FC
MAZ
27%
24%
49%
32 23 9 +1
03 Oct. 2020
PUL
Atlético Pulpileño
0 - 0
Mazarrón FC
MAZ
52%
24%
24%
32 39 7 0
18 Jul. 2020
LOR
Lorca Deportiva
0 - 0
Mazarrón FC
MAZ
66%
19%
15%
32 42 10 0