Lorca FC vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
20.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lorca FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
PAL
0 - 0
LOR
29%
26%
45%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
LOR
4 - 0
ECI
73%
18%
9%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ALG
0 - 2
LOR
28%
27%
45%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
LOR
3 - 0
CAD
42%
27%
32%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
LOR
32%
27%
42%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
LUC
67%
21%
13%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
LUC
1 - 1
PAL
64%
22%
14%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ECI
0 - 2
LUC
32%
28%
40%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
LUC
2 - 1
ALG
61%
23%
16%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
CAD
2 - 0
LUC
55%
25%
20%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |