MLS Next Pro Normal Season Round 8

Houston Dynamo II vs Austin FC II analysis

Houston Dynamo II Austin FC II
63 ELO 54
2.6% Tilt 12.9%
2692º General ELO ranking 3578º
54º Country ELO ranking 69º
ELO win probability
56.7%
Houston Dynamo II
24.2%
Draw
19.1%
Austin FC II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
Houston Dynamo II
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
19.1%
Win probability
Austin FC II
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Houston Dynamo II
-14%
+11%
Austin FC II

ELO progression

Houston Dynamo II
Austin FC II
Real Monarchs
Vancouver Whitecaps II
Minnesota United II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Houston Dynamo II
Houston Dynamo II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Apr. 2025
VAN
Vancouver Whitecaps II
1 - 3
Houston Dynamo II
HOU
35%
25%
40%
62 52 10 0
07 Apr. 2025
HOU
Houston Dynamo II
1 - 0
Los Angeles FC II
LAF
60%
22%
19%
61 49 12 +1
31 Mar. 2025
HOU
Houston Dynamo II
1 - 3
Minnesota United II
MIN
52%
24%
24%
62 53 9 -1
27 Mar. 2025
LAG
Ventura County
1 - 0
Houston Dynamo II
HOU
32%
24%
44%
63 49 14 -1
24 Mar. 2025
HOU
Houston Dynamo II
5 - 1
North Texas
NOT
37%
27%
37%
61 70 9 +2

Matches

Austin FC II
Austin FC II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Apr. 2025
VAN
Vancouver Whitecaps II
4 - 0
Austin FC II
AFC
45%
25%
30%
56 51 5 0
12 Apr. 2025
AFC
Austin FC II
1 - 1
North Texas
NOT
31%
26%
42%
55 69 14 +1
31 Mar. 2025
STL
St. Louis II
0 - 0
Austin FC II
AFC
66%
21%
14%
55 70 15 0
14 Mar. 2025
AFC
Austin FC II
0 - 1
Minnesota United II
MIN
44%
24%
32%
56 52 4 -1
08 Mar. 2025
AFC
Austin FC II
4 - 2
Colorado Rapids II
COR
43%
25%
33%
54 53 1 +2