MLS Next Pro Normal Season Round 11

Houston Dynamo II vs Austin FC II analysis

Houston Dynamo II Austin FC II
61 ELO 19
-8% Tilt 5.8%
3051º General ELO ranking 3668º
56º Country ELO ranking 64º
ELO win probability
83.6%
Houston Dynamo II
12.2%
Draw
4.2%
Austin FC II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.6%
Win probability
Houston Dynamo II
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.2%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.5%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.2%
4.2%
Win probability
Austin FC II
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Houston Dynamo II
-30%
+19%
Austin FC II

ELO progression

Houston Dynamo II
Austin FC II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Houston Dynamo II
Houston Dynamo II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 May. 2023
NOT
North Texas
3 - 3
Houston Dynamo II
HOU
44%
26%
30%
61 58 3 0
15 May. 2023
HOU
Houston Dynamo II
3 - 0
Real Monarchs
MON
67%
20%
12%
60 45 15 +1
08 May. 2023
VAN
Vancouver Whitecaps II
1 - 0
Houston Dynamo II
HOU
26%
24%
51%
61 48 13 -1
01 May. 2023
SPK
Sporting Kansas City II
1 - 4
Houston Dynamo II
HOU
24%
24%
52%
60 47 13 +1
24 Apr. 2023
HOU
Houston Dynamo II
1 - 2
Tacoma Defiance
TAC
47%
27%
26%
61 57 4 -1

Matches

Austin FC II
Austin FC II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 May. 2023
AFC
Austin FC II
0 - 1
The Town FC
SAN
9%
18%
73%
19 52 33 0
15 May. 2023
COR
Colorado Rapids II
1 - 0
Austin FC II
AFC
87%
10%
3%
19 52 33 0
08 May. 2023
POR
Portland Timbers II
0 - 1
Austin FC II
AFC
91%
6%
3%
18 30 12 +1
29 Apr. 2023
AFC
Austin FC II
1 - 1
Minnesota United II
MIN
7%
15%
77%
18 54 36 0
24 Apr. 2023
LAG
Ventura County
1 - 1
Austin FC II
AFC
94%
4%
2%
17 47 30 +1