Hottin vs Umayya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
26.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hottin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2005 |
HOR
2 - 1
HOT
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2005 |
ALM
2 - 0
HOT
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2005 |
HOT
1 - 0
SHO
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2005 |
ALK
2 - 0
HOT
47%
26%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2005 |
HOT
1 - 2
QAR
47%
25%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Umayya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2005 |
UMA
2 - 0
SHO
49%
25%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2005 |
QAR
1 - 0
UMA
50%
25%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2005 |
UMA
0 - 1
ALM
50%
25%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2005 |
ALI
2 - 0
UMA
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2005 |
UMA
2 - 2
ALK
49%
25%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |