Horst vs Sparta Enschede analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
45.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
AVW
3 - 3
HOR
50%
23%
27%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
HOR
1 - 1
DOS
31%
22%
47%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
HZV
0 - 1
HOR
87%
9%
4%
|
15 | 35 | 20 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
HOR
2 - 3
NSC
17%
20%
63%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
BLA
2 - 2
HOR
70%
18%
13%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Enschede
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
SPA
3 - 2
DOS
50%
22%
28%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
NSC
4 - 0
SPA
65%
19%
16%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
SPA
4 - 1
DTS
48%
23%
29%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
NUN
2 - 0
SPA
79%
13%
8%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
SPA
0 - 5
FCZ
32%
23%
45%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |