Horst vs FC Zutphen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
61.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
AVW
2 - 1
HOR
42%
25%
34%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
VVO
2 - 0
HOR
81%
13%
6%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
HOR
1 - 2
DZC
45%
24%
31%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
GOA
3 - 1
HOR
81%
13%
7%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
HOR
3 - 1
DOS
24%
23%
53%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
FC Zutphen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
BEQ
0 - 2
FCZ
61%
21%
19%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
FCZ
1 - 2
BEN
36%
24%
40%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
ZWA
1 - 4
FCZ
25%
24%
51%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
FCZ
1 - 1
SDV
34%
25%
41%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
DOS
2 - 4
FCZ
61%
20%
19%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +1 |