Horst vs Berkum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
53.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
KHC
2 - 0
HOR
47%
23%
31%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
HOR
3 - 2
VRB
51%
21%
27%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
ASC
2 - 1
HOR
63%
18%
18%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
FCZ
1 - 1
HOR
49%
22%
30%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
HOR
1 - 1
DOS
58%
20%
23%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Berkum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
BER
4 - 0
VRB
79%
13%
8%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
SPA
0 - 5
BER
24%
22%
54%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
BER
0 - 2
DOS
55%
22%
23%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
ASC
3 - 0
BER
26%
22%
53%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -2 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
BER
4 - 0
GOA
73%
16%
11%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | +1 |