Horsham vs Wingate & Finchley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.7%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.7%
8.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horsham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
BRI
0 - 4
HOR
25%
23%
52%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
HOR
3 - 2
MET
45%
24%
31%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
MET
1 - 1
HOR
41%
24%
35%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
HOR
0 - 1
FOL
34%
24%
43%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
LEW
0 - 2
HOR
22%
21%
57%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
WIN
0 - 4
MER
34%
24%
42%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
WIN
4 - 1
LON
71%
17%
12%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
HOR
2 - 0
WIN
53%
23%
25%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
WIN
1 - 0
HAR
21%
22%
57%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | +3 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
WIN
2 - 0
WEL
53%
21%
26%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |