FA Cup 1/1024
Global 5-3
Horsham vs Marlow FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.1%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
12.8%
6.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horsham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
HOR
1 - 0
CHE
71%
17%
12%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
HOR
2 - 1
LEA
76%
15%
9%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
LEA
0 - 0
HOR
15%
22%
64%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
WHI
3 - 1
HOR
21%
25%
54%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
HOR
3 - 2
DUL
54%
22%
25%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Marlow FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
RAY
0 - 1
MAR
54%
21%
25%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 0
CRO
64%
20%
16%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
MAR
6 - 1
SCR
63%
20%
17%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
COR
1 - 4
MAR
30%
25%
44%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
WCF
0 - 1
MAR
15%
18%
67%
|
25 | 8 | 17 | 0 |