Horsham vs Margate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
23.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horsham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
HOR
1 - 2
CRA
59%
21%
21%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
HOR
4 - 2
SIT
65%
19%
16%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2008 |
HOR
3 - 1
MAI
45%
25%
31%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
TON
4 - 0
HOR
63%
20%
17%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2008 |
HOR
0 - 2
HAS
58%
22%
20%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Margate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2008 |
MAR
0 - 2
MAI
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
MAR
0 - 1
WEA
54%
23%
23%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
MAR
0 - 1
HEN
59%
21%
20%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
DAR
0 - 1
MAR
59%
22%
19%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
MAR
2 - 3
HAS
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |