Horsham vs Kingstonian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
49.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horsham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
RED
2 - 0
HOR
34%
23%
43%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
HER
2 - 1
HOR
38%
24%
38%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2014 |
HOR
0 - 0
CAR
42%
24%
34%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
HOR
2 - 1
MER
31%
24%
45%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
HOR
2 - 2
BUR
30%
25%
45%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Kingstonian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
MAI
4 - 1
KIN
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
KIN
2 - 2
HEN
52%
23%
26%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2014 |
KIN
0 - 0
BUR
57%
21%
21%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
TON
0 - 2
KIN
38%
25%
37%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
BOG
1 - 1
KIN
44%
23%
33%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |