Horsham vs Dartford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
41.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horsham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
SUT
2 - 1
HOR
49%
24%
28%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2008 |
TOO
0 - 2
HOR
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
HOR
1 - 2
DOV
27%
27%
46%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
HOR
3 - 0
CAN
30%
25%
44%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +4 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
HAR
6 - 1
HOR
39%
24%
37%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Dartford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
DAR
0 - 0
STA
40%
24%
36%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2008 |
RAM
0 - 1
DAR
33%
24%
43%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2008 |
CAN
2 - 3
DAR
40%
24%
35%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
CAR
0 - 2
DAR
40%
26%
35%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
DOV
4 - 2
DAR
55%
24%
21%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |