Horsham YMCA vs Pagham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.6%
38.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horsham YMCA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
HOR
2 - 2
STC
81%
12%
7%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
CRA
9 - 0
HOR
30%
22%
48%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
HOR
0 - 4
SAL
31%
22%
47%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
HOR
1 - 1
LCO
54%
20%
26%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
ALF
0 - 1
HOR
36%
21%
43%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Pagham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
PAG
1 - 2
ALF
52%
22%
27%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
TOW
0 - 3
PAG
47%
22%
31%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
PAG
1 - 0
SAL
23%
21%
56%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
STC
1 - 2
PAG
23%
21%
56%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
PAG
4 - 0
LIN
84%
11%
5%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | +1 |