Horsham YMCA vs Eastbourne Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
68.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horsham YMCA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
CRO
2 - 0
HOR
77%
14%
9%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
HOR
0 - 1
BRO
13%
18%
69%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
AUC
2 - 1
HOR
19%
20%
61%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -2 |
| 21 Feb. 2023 |
HOR
1 - 1
EAS
13%
17%
70%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
HOR
0 - 1
PEA
22%
21%
57%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Eastbourne Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
TOW
1 - 1
BRO
37%
23%
41%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
LOX
0 - 3
TOW
9%
15%
75%
|
23 | 10 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
TOW
4 - 0
LIN
70%
17%
13%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
ALF
1 - 2
TOW
8%
14%
78%
|
23 | 9 | 14 | -2 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
TOW
2 - 0
SAL
78%
14%
8%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | -1 |