Non League Div One Isthmian South Round 4

Horsham YMCA vs Dulwich Hamlet FC analysis

Horsham YMCA Dulwich Hamlet FC
20 ELO 35
5.2% Tilt -6.9%
12074º General ELO ranking 8468º
676º Country ELO ranking 346º
ELO win probability
26.6%
Horsham YMCA
24.9%
Draw
48.4%
Dulwich Hamlet FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.6%
Win probability
Horsham YMCA
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
48.4%
Win probability
Dulwich Hamlet FC
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Horsham YMCA
+43%
-23%
Dulwich Hamlet FC

ELO progression

Horsham YMCA
Dulwich Hamlet FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Horsham YMCA
Horsham YMCA
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Aug. 2009
CHA
Chatham Town
1 - 1
Horsham YMCA
HOR
75%
16%
9%
21 39 18 0
18 Aug. 2009
MET
Metropolitan Police
1 - 2
Horsham YMCA
HOR
75%
16%
8%
20 43 23 +1
15 Aug. 2009
HOR
Horsham YMCA
1 - 1
Walton & Hersham
WAL
26%
24%
50%
19 29 10 +1
26 Apr. 2008
HOR
Horsham YMCA
0 - 3
Croydon Athletic
CRO
19%
22%
59%
19 35 16 0
21 Apr. 2008
HOR
Horsham YMCA
1 - 0
Molesey FC
MOL
58%
21%
21%
19 18 1 0

Matches

Dulwich Hamlet FC
Dulwich Hamlet FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Aug. 2009
DUL
Dulwich Hamlet FC
1 - 1
Leatherhead
LEA
43%
25%
32%
34 37 3 0
18 Aug. 2009
DUL
Dulwich Hamlet FC
1 - 3
Godalming Town
GOD
42%
25%
33%
36 39 3 -2
15 Aug. 2009
FOL
Folkestone Invicta
0 - 0
Dulwich Hamlet FC
DUL
44%
27%
29%
35 34 1 +1
25 Apr. 2009
DUL
Dulwich Hamlet FC
1 - 2
Fleet Town
FLE
29%
25%
46%
35 45 10 0
18 Apr. 2009
KIN
Kingstonian
2 - 1
Dulwich Hamlet FC
DUL
66%
20%
14%
36 43 7 -1