Horsham YMCA vs Varndeanians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
50.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horsham YMCA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
HOR
0 - 0
TOW
13%
19%
68%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
CRO
2 - 0
HOR
81%
12%
7%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
HOR
0 - 1
BRO
12%
17%
71%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
HAS
4 - 0
HOR
71%
16%
13%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
AUC
2 - 1
HOR
19%
20%
62%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Varndeanians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
VAR
0 - 1
CRO
27%
21%
52%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
VAR
0 - 3
HAS
47%
22%
32%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
BEX
1 - 0
VAR
62%
19%
19%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
BRO
3 - 0
VAR
71%
16%
13%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
STC
2 - 1
VAR
55%
21%
24%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |