AC Horsens vs SonderjyskE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
57%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
6º
10º
9º
49
1º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Horsens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
NAE
1 - 1
ACH
29%
26%
45%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
ACH
1 - 2
KOL
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ACH
0 - 0
ESB
34%
23%
43%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
KAL
2 - 0
ACH
64%
22%
15%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ACH
3 - 0
OST
42%
25%
34%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SonderjyskE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SON
0 - 3
VEN
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
AAB
2 - 2
SON
40%
26%
34%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
FRE
0 - 1
SON
30%
22%
48%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
SON
1 - 0
HAL
41%
25%
34%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2024 |
SON
3 - 1
GAI
43%
24%
32%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |