AC Horsens vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
50%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Horsens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
ACH
0 - 2
BIF
19%
24%
57%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
FCK
5 - 0
ACH
69%
20%
12%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
ACH
1 - 1
OBK
36%
27%
38%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
SIF
1 - 0
ACH
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2017 |
ACH
2 - 3
SON
25%
25%
50%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2017 |
RAN
1 - 1
AGF
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
AGF
1 - 2
SON
36%
26%
38%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2017 |
VFF
1 - 1
AGF
30%
27%
43%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
AGF
1 - 2
AAB
42%
25%
33%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
AGF
2 - 1
ESB
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |