AC Horsens vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
30.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Horsens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
FCN
5 - 0
ACH
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2005 |
SON
1 - 2
ACH
61%
20%
18%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
SIF
0 - 1
ACH
66%
21%
13%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
ACH
0 - 0
AAB
25%
26%
49%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
ESB
0 - 0
ACH
76%
16%
8%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
AGF
2 - 4
AAB
34%
26%
40%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2005 |
RAN
2 - 0
AGF
42%
24%
34%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
ESB
0 - 1
AGF
70%
18%
12%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
AGF
3 - 0
BIF
24%
24%
52%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
MID
3 - 3
AGF
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |