AC Horsens vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
35.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Horsens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
B93
1 - 3
ACH
28%
26%
46%
|
68 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
NAE
1 - 3
ACH
28%
26%
46%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
ACH
2 - 1
AAB
32%
26%
43%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
ACH
2 - 0
AKA
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
BRØ
0 - 2
ACH
30%
26%
44%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
FCK
2 - 3
AGF
64%
21%
15%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2004 |
AGF
2 - 1
AAB
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
AGF
2 - 2
MID
41%
25%
35%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2004 |
KBK
1 - 2
AGF
46%
23%
31%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
ESB
3 - 1
AGF
65%
20%
16%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |