Horizonte vs Quixadá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.1%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
12.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
GUA
2 - 2
HOR
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 2
HOR
43%
24%
33%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
CRA
4 - 3
HOR
23%
22%
55%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
HOR
1 - 0
LIM
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2011 |
HOR
1 - 1
GUA
28%
23%
49%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Quixadá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
TIR
2 - 0
QUI
66%
19%
15%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
QUI
1 - 2
CEA
14%
22%
64%
|
41 | 74 | 33 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
QUI
3 - 2
ITA
40%
24%
36%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
FER
2 - 1
QUI
53%
23%
25%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
QUI
1 - 2
GUA
30%
24%
47%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | -1 |