Horizonte vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
62.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
HOR
1 - 1
FOR
23%
23%
54%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
ITA
2 - 2
HOR
34%
25%
41%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2009 |
CEA
2 - 1
HOR
73%
17%
10%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
HOR
1 - 1
QUI
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2009 |
BOV
3 - 2
HOR
34%
25%
41%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
CEA
0 - 0
ARN
62%
23%
16%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
PPE
1 - 2
CEA
54%
24%
23%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
CEA
2 - 2
GUA
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2009 |
ATL
4 - 1
CEA
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2009 |
CEA
2 - 0
BRA
53%
26%
22%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |