Horizonte vs Alto Santo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
12.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horizonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2016 |
HOR
2 - 3
ITA
77%
16%
8%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
FER
2 - 2
HOR
28%
24%
48%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2016 |
HOR
2 - 1
MAR
76%
16%
8%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
HOR
1 - 2
FLO
66%
20%
14%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2016 |
HOR
2 - 2
IGU
77%
15%
8%
|
54 | 31 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Alto Santo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2016 |
ASE
5 - 1
CGF
78%
14%
8%
|
39 | 11 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
NOV
0 - 3
ASE
18%
20%
62%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2016 |
ASE
1 - 0
IGU
55%
21%
24%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 3
ASE
27%
22%
51%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
ASE
4 - 0
CRA
53%
22%
26%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |