Horizonte vs Alto Santo analysis


50	ELO	27
3.7%	Tilt	9.1%
6064º	General ELO ranking	32112º
255º	Country ELO ranking	963º
ELO win probability

80.2%

Horizonte

13.5%

Draw

6.3%

Alto Santo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

80.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%

13.5%

Draw

0-0

4.2%

1-1

6.4%

2-2

2.4%

3-3

0.4%

4-4

<0%

0

13.5%

6.3%

Win probability

0.59

Expected goals

0-1

2.5%

1-2

1.9%

2-3

0.5%

3-4

0.1%

-1

4.9%

0-2

0.7%

1-3

0.4%

2-4

0.1%

-2

1.2%

0-3

0.1%

1-4

0.1%

-3

0.2%

0-4

0%

-4

<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Horizonte

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
05 Mar. 2016	HOR 1 - 0 CRA 81% 14% 6%	50	24	26
27 Feb. 2016	CGF 2 - 3 HOR 7% 14% 78%	50	9	41
25 Feb. 2016	BAR 2 - 4 HOR 16% 20% 64%	50	33	17
20 Feb. 2016	HOR 3 - 0 NOV 84% 12% 5%	50	20	30
15 Mar. 2015	HOR 5 - 2 ITA 62% 21% 17%	50	41	9