Hongg vs Mendrisio-Stabio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
17.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hongg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
ESC
3 - 1
HON
55%
22%
23%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
HON
1 - 1
FCW
29%
25%
47%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
HON
3 - 2
LIN
35%
22%
43%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
TUG
2 - 1
HON
73%
16%
11%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
HON
0 - 2
WIN
49%
22%
29%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Mendrisio-Stabio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
MEN
2 - 0
STG
15%
19%
67%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
BAD
3 - 0
MEN
80%
13%
7%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
KOS
4 - 2
MEN
80%
13%
8%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
MEN
1 - 3
RSZ
15%
22%
63%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -2 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
UZU
0 - 0
MEN
35%
24%
41%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |