Hongg vs Mendrisio-Stabio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
26.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hongg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
YFJ
0 - 2
HON
64%
20%
17%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
HON
0 - 3
WIL
17%
20%
63%
|
33 | 63 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
TUG
3 - 1
HON
67%
18%
15%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
HON
2 - 0
STG
52%
23%
26%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
GRA
2 - 2
HON
55%
22%
23%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mendrisio-Stabio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
MEN
3 - 0
WIN
44%
25%
31%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
SVS
1 - 3
MEN
61%
20%
18%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
MEN
1 - 1
FCZ
40%
24%
36%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
MEN
2 - 2
RAP
19%
23%
58%
|
29 | 47 | 18 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
YFJ
5 - 1
MEN
61%
21%
19%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -2 |