Hong Ngai vs Monte Carlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.4%
36.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Ngai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
HNM
0 - 5
MAC
43%
23%
34%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
BEN
5 - 0
HNM
59%
21%
21%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
HNM
0 - 4
KTM
48%
23%
30%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
HNM
1 - 4
GLP
41%
22%
37%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
PSP
2 - 0
HNM
46%
23%
30%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
GLP
1 - 1
MCA
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
MCA
2 - 2
PSP
61%
20%
20%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
WAK
0 - 0
MCA
55%
20%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
MCA
4 - 3
LLM
60%
20%
20%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2012 |
FCP
2 - 1
MCA
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |