Hong Kong U23 vs Japan U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.3%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
72%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
14.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
IRN
0 - 1
HKG
73%
17%
10%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
HKG
1 - 0
PLE
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
UZB
2 - 1
HKG
74%
17%
10%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
HKG
0 - 1
UZB
17%
22%
61%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2023 |
TJK
2 - 1
HKG
20%
21%
60%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Japan U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
JPN
2 - 1
PRK
90%
8%
2%
|
69 | 26 | 43 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
JPN
7 - 0
MYA
89%
9%
2%
|
69 | 29 | 40 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
PLE
0 - 1
JPN
6%
16%
78%
|
69 | 37 | 32 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
JPN
3 - 1
QAT
84%
12%
5%
|
69 | 47 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
KHM
1 - 3
JPN
5%
12%
83%
|
69 | 33 | 36 | 0 |