Hong Kong U23 vs Guam U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.1%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.1%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.1%
3.8%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
HKG
0 - 5
UAE
28%
23%
49%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2025 |
THA
2 - 3
HKG
42%
24%
34%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
UZB
4 - 0
HKG
74%
17%
10%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
HKG
0 - 4
JPN
9%
19%
72%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
IRN
0 - 1
HKG
73%
17%
10%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +2 |