HK Sapling vs South China AA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
49.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HK Sapling
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
HON
2 - 3
ISK
30%
24%
45%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
HON
1 - 0
RFH
26%
22%
52%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
HON
0 - 4
SDI
32%
25%
43%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
WTP
1 - 0
HON
67%
19%
15%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
KFC
0 - 0
HON
77%
16%
7%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
South China AA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
SDI
1 - 0
SCA
46%
24%
30%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
WTP
1 - 5
SCA
38%
23%
38%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
SUN
2 - 1
SCA
38%
27%
36%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
SCA
1 - 0
ISK
47%
25%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
SCA
2 - 1
SDI
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |