Hong Kong FC vs TSW Pegasus FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
50.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
HON
2 - 1
TMS
43%
23%
34%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
TCS
4 - 2
HON
50%
23%
27%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2011 |
HON
0 - 6
WTP
44%
24%
32%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
HON
0 - 2
SHS
40%
22%
38%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
HON
1 - 2
PFC
23%
20%
57%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
TSW Pegasus FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
SHS
4 - 3
PFC
36%
26%
38%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
PFC
7 - 1
TCS
76%
15%
9%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
PFC
1 - 2
SCA
32%
22%
45%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2011 |
PFC
1 - 2
SRI
60%
21%
19%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
KFC
1 - 4
PFC
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |