Hong Kong FC vs Kitchee FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
64.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
3º
6º
6º
46
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
46 | 46 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 31 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hong Kong FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
HON
2 - 0
SHA
83%
12%
5%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
WAR
2 - 1
HON
59%
21%
20%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
HON
1 - 1
RES
66%
19%
15%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
HON
1 - 0
EAS
16%
22%
62%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
KFC
5 - 0
HON
71%
17%
12%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Kitchee FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
KFC
2 - 1
BIU
71%
17%
12%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
KFC
8 - 0
HKU
74%
17%
9%
|
69 | 43 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
KFC
7 - 0
SHA
87%
10%
3%
|
69 | 39 | 30 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
RES
0 - 5
KFC
16%
21%
62%
|
69 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
EAS
1 - 1
KFC
40%
23%
37%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |