Hønefoss vs Spjelkavik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.1%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.5%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.8%
4.1%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
73
1º
3º
2º
27
6º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hønefoss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
ELV
1 - 3
HON
38%
24%
38%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
HON
5 - 0
FVI
81%
13%
6%
|
47 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
MOL
0 - 4
HON
21%
22%
58%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
HON
5 - 2
SOF
87%
9%
4%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
FLO
0 - 3
HON
17%
19%
65%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Spjelkavik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SPJ
2 - 0
HOD
34%
22%
44%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 1
SPJ
73%
15%
12%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SPJ
3 - 4
EID
7%
16%
77%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
FVI
2 - 2
SPJ
59%
20%
21%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
ELV
2 - 1
SPJ
83%
11%
6%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |