Hønefoss vs Sarpsborg 08 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.2%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
74.3%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.5%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
9%
0-5
3%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hønefoss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
HON
1 - 0
FFK
83%
11%
6%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
HON
6 - 0
ILU
91%
6%
3%
|
50 | 9 | 41 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
HON
5 - 0
GJO
50%
22%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
HON
2 - 2
STR
43%
23%
34%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
MJO
3 - 1
HON
64%
19%
17%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sarpsborg 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
S08
0 - 2
KFU
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
FFK
2 - 2
S08
30%
25%
45%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 5
S08
42%
23%
35%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
S08
0 - 1
ODD
49%
24%
27%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
VKG
1 - 0
S08
56%
22%
22%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |