Hønefoss vs Moss analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hønefoss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
ALT
0 - 4
HON
40%
25%
35%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
HON
0 - 2
STB
20%
23%
56%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
FOL
0 - 0
HON
31%
25%
44%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
HON
1 - 3
SKE
53%
23%
24%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
HAU
2 - 0
HON
49%
23%
28%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Moss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
MOS
1 - 1
BRY
35%
26%
39%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
POR
1 - 0
MOS
52%
23%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
MOS
0 - 0
LOV
48%
25%
28%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
MOS
2 - 1
ELP
26%
25%
49%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
TRO
0 - 1
MOS
33%
26%
41%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |