Honduras vs Costa Rica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
30.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1995 |
HND
2 - 0
GTM
50%
28%
22%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1995 |
HND
2 - 0
PAN
59%
25%
16%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 1995 |
JAM
1 - 0
HND
19%
25%
56%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 1995 |
HND
0 - 1
TUR
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1995 |
BRA
1 - 1
HND
95%
4%
1%
|
81 | 97 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1995 |
SLV
2 - 1
CRI
36%
27%
37%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1995 |
CRI
2 - 1
BLZ
75%
17%
7%
|
82 | 36 | 46 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1995 |
JAM
2 - 0
CRI
14%
23%
63%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1995 |
JPN
3 - 0
CRI
43%
27%
30%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 1995 |
ECU
2 - 1
CRI
44%
27%
29%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |