Honduras Progreso vs CD Victoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
14.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
JUT
2 - 1
HNP
34%
27%
39%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
HNP
0 - 2
OLI
46%
27%
28%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2016 |
PAR
3 - 5
HNP
23%
20%
57%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 2
HNP
36%
27%
38%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
HNP
1 - 1
MOT
39%
23%
38%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
CD Victoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
VIC
1 - 1
RES
39%
25%
36%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
MOT
4 - 0
VIC
70%
19%
12%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2016 |
VID
1 - 0
VIC
43%
25%
32%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
VIC
0 - 4
RSO
42%
27%
31%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
VIC
2 - 1
RSO
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |