Honduras Progreso vs CD Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
25.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
3º
10º
9º
16
7º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
13 | 13 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
JAG
4 - 2
HNP
55%
24%
22%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
OLI
0 - 0
HNP
63%
22%
16%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
HNP
1 - 3
VID
27%
26%
48%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MOT
1 - 1
HNP
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2023 |
HNP
1 - 1
VIC
30%
26%
44%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CD Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2023 |
JAG
1 - 1
RSO
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
RSO
0 - 2
OLI
19%
25%
56%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
RSO
1 - 1
MAR
18%
24%
58%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
ALI
2 - 2
RSO
64%
21%
15%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
RSO
0 - 0
MOT
19%
25%
55%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | +1 |