Honda vs Azul Claro Numazu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
12.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Honda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
VAN
2 - 1
HON
31%
24%
45%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
HON
6 - 0
HON
79%
14%
6%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
HON
2 - 1
SAG
59%
22%
19%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
KAG
0 - 3
HON
37%
24%
39%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
HON
2 - 1
SON
57%
23%
21%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Azul Claro Numazu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
AZU
2 - 2
SAG
41%
26%
34%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
KAG
3 - 2
AZU
59%
22%
19%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
MIO
0 - 2
AZU
38%
23%
38%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
AZU
1 - 1
TOC
79%
14%
8%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 1
AZU
24%
22%
54%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | +1 |