FC 08 Homburg vs VfR Aalen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
29.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2019 |
FRE
2 - 2
HOM
39%
26%
34%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
GIE
0 - 2
HOM
28%
24%
48%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
HOM
1 - 2
BAY
84%
11%
5%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
HOM
1 - 0
FOL
9%
14%
77%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
ROT
4 - 6
HOM
30%
26%
44%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
VfR Aalen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2019 |
VFR
2 - 2
ELV
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2019 |
OFC
1 - 1
VFR
45%
27%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
VFR
4 - 4
BAH
73%
17%
10%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
HOF
1 - 2
VFR
20%
23%
57%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
STU
1 - 1
VFR
17%
22%
62%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | 0 |