FC 08 Homburg vs Jahn Regensburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
9.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1976 |
BAU
0 - 0
HOM
14%
20%
67%
|
75 | 45 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1976 |
HOM
4 - 0
WUR
90%
8%
2%
|
75 | 44 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1976 |
FCN
2 - 1
HOM
52%
23%
25%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1976 |
HOM
3 - 0
BAY
64%
21%
16%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1976 |
MUN
1 - 0
HOM
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Jahn Regensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1976 |
SSV
3 - 0
STU
23%
25%
52%
|
52 | 76 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1976 |
AUG
3 - 0
SSV
80%
14%
6%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1976 |
SSV
4 - 2
WAL
25%
25%
50%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 1976 |
BSV
3 - 2
SSV
53%
21%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1976 |
SSV
1 - 0
DAR
22%
25%
53%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | +1 |