FC 08 Homburg vs Greuther Fürth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
13.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1975 |
VFR
4 - 2
HOM
36%
25%
39%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1975 |
HOM
3 - 3
SAA
50%
24%
26%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1975 |
AUG
1 - 0
HOM
57%
22%
21%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1975 |
WWO
2 - 1
HOM
35%
26%
39%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1975 |
HOM
4 - 0
HEI
61%
21%
18%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1975 |
SGF
1 - 0
WWO
56%
24%
19%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1975 |
HEI
0 - 1
SGF
66%
21%
14%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1975 |
SGF
1 - 0
M05
39%
27%
34%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1975 |
BAY
2 - 0
SGF
66%
22%
13%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1975 |
SGF
2 - 2
SVS
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |