Holywell vs Chirk AAA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.5%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.9%
6.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holywell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
FMC
3 - 1
HOL
5%
10%
85%
|
57 | 14 | 43 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
CPD
1 - 4
HOL
9%
16%
75%
|
57 | 20 | 37 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
HOL
3 - 1
CAE
84%
11%
5%
|
57 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FLI
1 - 1
HOL
44%
24%
31%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
PRE
0 - 4
HOL
13%
19%
68%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Chirk AAA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
AAA
1 - 1
POR
20%
19%
61%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
CAE
3 - 2
AAA
66%
17%
17%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
AAA
1 - 4
FLI
11%
19%
70%
|
29 | 58 | 29 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
RTW
3 - 2
AAA
77%
14%
10%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 4
AAA
30%
22%
48%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +2 |